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Mar

18

New Quinnipiac poll numbers re: Obama, Strickland, Senate 2010


You can read the information for the poll about Ohio Governor Strickland and challengers to him here. I don’t usually spend a ton of time on analyzing the polls – the pollsters and other bloggers do that for you.  I believe that they need to be put into the context of: when they were taken (From March 10- 15), how the questions were asked (all 50 questions plus results are at the link), who was asked (surveyed 1,299 Ohio voters, 463 Republicans, unknown number of Dems and Independents) and the margin of error  (I’m not sure how to read their info correctly because they offer two different MEs,  +/- 2.7 percentage points for the 1299 Ohioans, or +/- 4.6 for the Republican – check it out). Quinnipiac is considered to be one of the most reliable of the polls.

Overall: Ohioans are feeling somewhat uncomfortable with some of Governor Strickland’s ideas, including his education plan and his plan for using stimulus money to bridge a budget gap.  They’re also not feeling great about how he is handling the economic downturn. 

On the other hand, he continues to hold big margins over possible GOP rivals in 2010 for his spot and between the rivals, former U.S. Senator Mike DeWine leads former Rep. and Fox news talking head John Kasich.

The Columbus Dispatch mentions numbers in relation to the Dem primary but I didn’t see any questions about that in the Q-poll document. I think it’s an error so I have an email into the reporter.  Likewise, it reports on Ohioans’ opinion of President Obama, but there’s nothing in the poll about that either. I’ll update this post if I learn more.

Here’s the link to the poll of Ohioans re: Obama and the Dems. The Dispatch story only had a link for the above info.

Obama’s approval has dropped by 10 points but is still at 57.  Independents, and particularly Evangelicals, are switching back to what might be perhaps a more original position as they say in political theory.  Ohioans also give Obama better marks for his handling of the economy than they do Strickland.

In the Senate 2010 matchups, Lee Fisher and Jennifer Brunner both beat Rob Portman but 46% of Ohioans remain undecided as to which Dem should be the candidate (Fisher gets 18%, Brunner 14%, Tim Ryan 12%, Tyrone Yates 6%).  Between Portman and  Ohio Auditor Mary Taylor, if she were to enter the GOP primary to run in the race, Portman wins.

Numbers. Eh. Primary is nearly 15 months away.  Looooooong primary season.

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By Jill Miller Zimon at 7:01 am March 18th, 2009 in Economy, Education, Government, leadership, Ohio, Politics, Poll, Predictions, Primary, Republicans, Ted Strickland, Voting 

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